Los casos bajan cada vez más lento en la Argentina y ya empiezan a hablar de rebote





El ritmo de descenso en los casos se frenó en la Argentina, mientras que en algunas provincias como Tucumán aumentó respecto de la última semana y ya comienza a hablarse rebote. Si se toma en cuenta el promedio de contagios cada 7 días, en las últimas 3 semanas los infectados cayeron 17%, luego 15% y 7% al 27 de junio.

La noticia es una señal de alarma: por un lado el gobierno teme que la cepa Delta con más fuerza y para evitarlo suspendió los vuelos internacionales. Además llegan los días con temperaturas más bajas y eso también podría hacer subir los casos. Otra de las complejidades tiene que ver con la mayor apertura de sectores, algo que podría incrementar los contagios.

“Leve reducción respecto a la semana pasada, aunque pareciera haber un rebote en los últimos días”, escribió en su cuenta de Twitter el economista y senador correntino Martín Barrionuevo, que además es uno de los mejores analistas de la pandemia.

La provincia que parece más complicada es Tucumán: si se toman los casos diarios en promedio semanal a partir del 6 de junio registró 925 casos, 820 casos el 13 de junio, 707 casos el 20 de junio y 894 casos el 27 de junio. Pasó de una caída de 12% a una del 14% y luego una suba de 26%.

En Córdoba la caída fue atenuándose en las últimas semanas, pero continúa. El 6 de junio se registraron 4036 casos, 3726 el 13 de junio, 2837 el 20 de junio y 2602 el 27 de junio. En otras palabras pasó de una disminución del 8% a una del 24% y a 9% en la última semana.

Santa Fé tuvo números más bajos aún: 2736 casos el 6 de junio, 2173 el 13 de junio, 1783 el 20 de junio y 1672 el 27 de junio. Si se compara en términos de porcentajes el descenso fue del 21%, del 18% y del 7% la última semana.

En la Ciudad siguen bajando los casos, pero cada vez de forma más lenta. Hubo 1936 el 6 de junio, 1636 el 13 de junio, 1398 el 20 de junio y 1340 el 27 de junio. Una semana respecto de la otra las caídas fueron del 16%, del 15% y de un 4% la última semana.blank

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